Weekly Stock Market Analysis, Commentary and Potential Picks for the week ending June 20, 2025

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Markets Hold Breath Amid Geopolitical and Economic Uncertainty

Markets remain cautious as they await outcome of US attack on Iran's Nuclear facilities on this Saturday and possible retaliation by Iran, potentially affecting trade routes and global stability. Investor patience is further tested by stalled U.S. trade negotiations, unresolved Congressional debates over domestic spending, and the Federal Reserve’s steady interest-rate policy signaling prolonged uncertainty. Although major indices like the S&P 500 and Nasdaq remain near record highs, narrow trading ranges, rising oil prices, and declining market breadth suggest underlying fragility. Sector performance has been mixed: Energy continues to thrive on geopolitical fears, while Healthcare has struggled significantly. Technology maintains stability driven by AI stocks like Nvidia and Microsoft. Historically, the current calendar period till 26th June has shown weakness, and technical indicators suggest potential short-term market vulnerability, prompting investors to remain wary as key policy decisions loom.