US Stock Market Analysis, Commentary and Picks for January 2025

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The stock market rally, which had been gaining momentum, faced a major setback last week as a series of disruptive events rattled investor confidence. The turbulence began with Chinese AI startup DeepSeek’s bold claim of developing an advanced AI model at a fraction of the cost incurred by U.S. tech giants, triggering a sharp selloff in AI stocks and sending ripples across the tech sector and beyond. Just as the market showed signs of stabilization, another shock arrived—newly announced tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China. With the Federal Reserve pausing interest rate cuts and contrarian indicators like the CBOE Put-Call ratio signaling excessive bullish sentiment, concerns of a cyclical bear market are mounting. As uncertainties around trade policies and economic outlook persist, investors may need to brace for heightened volatility in the weeks ahead.

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