Stock Market Analysis, Commentary and Potential Picks - Week ending July 11,. 2025

WEEKLY COMMENTARY

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Summary for stocks in consideration:

· NVDA: Hit a $4 trillion market cap and new all-time high; strong seasonal trend but extended—watch for a pullback to 150–153.

· COST: Downgraded as a long-term leader due to overvaluation and risk of deeper correction.

· ATAT: Broke out with a 4.94% weekly gain; still in a buy zone starting at 34.32.

· GBTC: Gained 8.1% with Bitcoin’s breakout past 118K; remains in buy range as a BTC proxy.

· SAP: Down 0.94% but still actionable with 15–20% upside potential—consider waiting until July 22 earnings.

· AMZN: Up 0.72%; remains in a buy zone despite mixed Prime Day sentiment—watch test of 242.52 resistance.

· AVGO: Pulled back slightly (-0.29%) after new high; overbought but watch 20-day EMA (~264) for re-entry.

· RCL: Up 1.2%; continuing its uptrend—recommend holding for further gains.

· AEM: Flat for the week; offers entry as gold resumes uptrend, with stop below 114.60.

· CRDO: Gained 5.25% and up 37.52% since selection—take partial profits, but trend remains strong.

· CIBR: Dropped 4.41% but likely to test 71.5 support—good ETF alternative to individual cybersecurity stocks.

· MELI: Fell 5% after hitting all-time high; maintain a hold as it stabilizes.

· AU: Gained 0.86%; hold position and consider partial profit-taking on rebound strength.

· NOW: Dropped 10.14%; nearing sell trigger at 924—earnings and seasonal strength warrant caution.

· META: Flat with minor 0.21% loss; supported at 20-day EMA—likely to consolidate before July 30 earnings.

· TSLA: Rebounded to 313.51; breakout above 313.58 could trigger move toward 370—AI angle may support growth.

· MSFT: Gained 0.90%; extended and facing resistance near 500—wait for pullback to 450–461 to buy.

· GOOGL: Nearly flat; aggressive investors may enter now with stop below 162.

· CVX: Up 4.68%; strong dividend play but best bought at technical support levels.

· ZS: Fell 8% as expected; may bounce at 280 but ETF CIBR is preferred for exposure.

· T (AT&T): Dropped 3.95%; removed from list due to expected consolidation or further decline.

· SMH: Up 1.36%; still bullish in July, though large gains unlikely in short term.

· ATGE: Flashed a sell signal after breaking 50-day MA; drop below 117 would confirm breakdown.

· MPLX/HESM: Mixed week (-0.74% and +0.60%); both offer solid long-term income at current support levels.

· BABA: Down 1.82% but holding 200-week EMA support—could be undervalued with rebound potential to 131.21.

· GLDM: Gained 0.67% as gold exits consolidation—entry opportunity with stop below 62.70.

· ETR/NI: Nearly flat last week; strong dividend yield and tight trading range make them solid long-term holds.